Serie A · Mar 22, 2026 21:30
Vitoria
PWR 35
Mirassol
PWR 35
Vitoria
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Mirassol
PWR 35
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Vitoria Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (22%)2-0 (19%)0-0 (13%)3-0 (11%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
No
No 22%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Vitoria
WDLWW
STABLE
Mirassol
LDLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/5 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Vitoriavs
0.32
MirassolGoal Probability
Vitoria
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Mirassol
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (6%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 18% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Vitoria+1
Gap#12
Mirassol
WR 67% 7 pts
WR 0% 6 pts
Vitoria
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Vitoria v Atletic… | 2-0 |
| Mar 11 | Vitoria v Bahia | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Vitoria v Bahia | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Vitoria v GalĂcia | 3-0 |
| Feb 18 | Vitoria v Bahia d… | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Vitoria v Flamengo | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Vitoria v Jequié | 2-2 |
| Feb 05 | Vitoria v Palmeir… | 5-1 |
| Feb 01 | Vitoria v Barcelo… | 0-2 |
| Jan 28 | Vitoria v Remo | 2-0 |
Mirassol
4.0%
| Mar 15 | Mirassol v Palmeir… | 1-0 |
| Mar 11 | Mirassol v Santos | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Mirassol v Portugu… | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Mirassol v Cruzeiro | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | Mirassol v Capivar… | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Mirassol v Remo | 2-2 |
| Feb 02 | Mirassol v Novoriz… | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Mirassol v Vasco D… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Mirassol v São Ber… | 0-4 |
| Jan 21 | Mirassol v RB Brag… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Nov 29, 2025 | Vitoria | 2-0 | Mirassol |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Mirassol | 1-1 | Vitoria |
| Sep 01, 2023 | Vitoria | 0-0 | Mirassol |
| May 19, 2023 | Mirassol | 2-0 | Vitoria |
| Aug 07, 2022 | Mirassol | 1-2 | Vitoria |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
72%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Vitoria in strong form (3W in last 5)
Mirassol struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.