Serie A · Mar 22, 2026 21:30
Internacional
PWR 35
Chapecoense
PWR 35
Internacional
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Chapecoense
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (15%)2-0 (14%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No
No 33%
Over 3.5
37%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Internacional
LLDLD
DOWN
Chapecoense
LWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
3.16
Internacionalvs
0.43
ChapecoenseGoal Probability
Internacion…
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Chapecoense
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (10%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 81% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#20
Internacion…-6
Gap#14
Chapecoense
WR 0% 2 pts
WR 0% 5 pts
Internacional
4.0%
| Mar 15 | Interna… v Bahia | 0-1 |
| Mar 11 | Interna… v Atletic… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Interna… v Remo | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Interna… v Remo | 3-0 |
| Feb 25 | Interna… v Remo | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Interna… v Ypirang… | 4-0 |
| Feb 15 | Interna… v Ypirang… | 0-3 |
| Feb 13 | Interna… v Palmeir… | 1-3 |
| Feb 08 | Interna… v São Luiz | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | Interna… v Flamengo | 1-1 |
Chapecoense
4.0%
| Mar 12 | Chapeco… v São Pau… | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Chapeco… v Barra | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Chapeco… v Barra | 3-1 |
| Feb 22 | Chapeco… v Brusque | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Chapeco… v Brusque | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Chapeco… v Coritiba | 3-3 |
| Feb 08 | Chapeco… v Criciúma | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Chapeco… v Vasco D… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Chapeco… v Criciúma | 1-2 |
| Jan 28 | Chapeco… v Santos | 4-2 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Internacional struggling (3L in last 5)
Chapecoense struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.