New South Wales NPL · Mar 21, 2026 06:45
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
PWR 35
Sutherland Sharks
PWR 35
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Sutherland Sharks
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sutherland Sharks Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)1-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
54Attack0
24Defense100
Goals/G
1.50.0
Conc/G
2.20.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
APIA Leichhard…
DWDLW
STABLE
Sutherland Sha…
WLWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.3%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.59
APIA Leichhard…vs
0.94
Sutherland Sha…Goal Probability
APIA Leichh…
0
8%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Sutherland …
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
APIA Leichh…-2
Gap#11
Sutherland …
WR 27% 11 pts
WR 31% 39 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APIA Leichhar… | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 24 | 11 |
| Sutherland Sh… | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 38 | 48 | 39 |
APIA Leichhard…
12.0%
| Mar 14 | APIA Le… v Rockdal… | 0-0 |
| Nov 07 | APIA Le… v Sydney | 1-2 |
| Nov 02 | APIA Le… v MetroSt… | 1-1 |
| Oct 26 | APIA Le… v Bayswat… | 1-0 |
| Oct 17 | APIA Le… v Sydney | 4-0 |
| Oct 11 | APIA Le… v MetroSt… | 0-1 |
| Jul 20 | APIA Le… v Sydney | 2-2 |
| Apr 06 | APIA Le… v Sydney | 2-1 |
| Aug 28 | APIA Le… v Sydney | 1-2 |
| Aug 25 | APIA Le… v NWS Spi… | 1-0 |
Sutherland Sha…
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Sutherl… v UNSW | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Sutherl… v Western… | 2-3 |
| Mar 01 | Sutherl… v Blackto… | 2-3 |
| Feb 21 | Sutherl… v St Geor… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Sutherl… v Sydney | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Sutherl… v NWS Spi… | 1-0 |
| Jul 19 | Sutherl… v Blackto… | 1-2 |
| Jul 12 | Sutherl… v NWS Spi… | 1-3 |
| Jun 21 | Sutherl… v St Geor… | 1-1 |
| Jun 07 | Sutherl… v Western… | 3-1 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
89%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sutherland Sharks struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.