First League · Mar 19, 2026 16:00
Spartak Varna
PWR 35
Ludogorets Razgrad
PWR 35
Spartak Varna
PWR 35
1-3
predicted
Ludogorets Razgrad
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
X2 (Away/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 78% away + 15% draw = 93% combined
96%
accuracy
1.13x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Ludogorets Razgrad Win
Score
1-3
Confidence
78%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-3 (6%)0-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
4.84x
DC X2
93%
Away/Draw
1.13x
Over 2.5
70%
70%
Under 2.5
30%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 71%
Over 3.5
26%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Spartak Varna
WLLLW
STABLE
Ludogorets Raz…
WWWDL
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy88%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_FORM_DOMINANTAWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMESODDS_CONFIRM_75
Full data available (Tier 1)Bookmaker consensus confirms AWAY at 78%Home team draws 31% at home = very high riskCombined DR 62% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Spartak Varnavs
2.11
Ludogorets Raz…Goal Probability
Spartak Var…
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Ludogorets …
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
CORRECT SCORES
0-2 (15%)0-1 (15%)0-3 (10%)1-2 (9%)1-1 (9%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Spartak Var…-11
Gap#2
Ludogorets …
WR 23% 23 pts
WR 54% 53 pts
Spartak Varna
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Spartak… v Hebar 1… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Spartak… v CSKA 19… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Spartak… v Chernom… | 1-2 |
| Mar 06 | Spartak… v Slavia … | 4-0 |
| Mar 03 | Spartak… v Montana | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Spartak… v Pirin B… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Spartak… v Arda Ka… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Spartak… v Lokomot… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Spartak… v Dunav R… | 4-0 |
| Feb 13 | Spartak… v Lokomot… | 2-2 |
Ludogorets Raz…
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Ludogor… v CSKA So… | 3-0 |
| Mar 09 | Ludogor… v Montana | 0-3 |
| Mar 05 | Ludogor… v Levski … | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Ludogor… v Lokomot… | 1-1 |
| Feb 26 | Ludogor… v Ferencv… | 2-0 |
| Feb 23 | Ludogor… v Botev P… | 2-1 |
| Feb 19 | Ludogor… v Ferencv… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Ludogor… v Beroe | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | Ludogor… v CSKA So… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Ludogor… v Lokomot… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 18, 2025 | Ludogorets Ra… | 1-1 | Spartak Varna |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
45%
Standings
30%
Market
35%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ludogorets Razgrad in strong form (3W in last 5)
Spartak Varna struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.