First League · Mar 20, 2026 16:00
Slavia Sofia
PWR 0
Botev Plovdiv
PWR 35
Slavia Sofia
PWR 0
0-1
predicted
Botev Plovdiv
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Botev Plovdiv to win (49% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
49%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)1-0 (14%)3-0 (12%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)0-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
0Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Slavia Sofia
DWWLL
STABLE
Botev Plovdiv
LDWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Slavia Sofiavs
0.54
Botev PlovdivGoal Probability
Slavia Sofia
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Botev Plovd…
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (14%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Slavia Sofia+4
Gap#11
Botev Plovd…
WR 46% 35 pts
WR 31% 30 pts
Slavia Sofia
10.0%
| Mar 13 | Slavia … v Lokomot… | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Slavia … v Spartak… | 4-0 |
| Mar 03 | Slavia … v Beroe | 0-3 |
| Feb 27 | Slavia … v CSKA 19… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Slavia … v CSKA So… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Slavia … v Arda Ka… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Slavia … v Lokomot… | 0-2 |
| Dec 08 | Slavia … v Ludogor… | 1-1 |
| Dec 04 | Slavia … v Levski … | 2-0 |
| Nov 30 | Slavia … v Dobrudz… | 3-1 |
Botev Plovdiv
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Botev P… v Botev V… | 1-3 |
| Mar 08 | Botev P… v CSKA 19… | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Botev P… v Septemv… | 2-0 |
| Feb 27 | Botev P… v Montana | 0-0 |
| Feb 23 | Botev P… v Ludogor… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Botev P… v Levski … | 3-0 |
| Feb 12 | Botev P… v Lokomot… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Botev P… v Beroe | 0-0 |
| Dec 13 | Botev P… v Spartak… | 0-2 |
| Dec 06 | Botev P… v Lokomot… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 18, 2025 | Botev Plovdiv | 1-1 | Slavia Sofia |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
89%
Standings
61%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.