National Soccer League · Mar 22, 2026 13:00
Bugesera
PWR 35
AS Kigali
PWR 35
Bugesera
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
AS Kigali
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Bugesera Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Bugesera
WWDLW
STABLE
AS Kigali
LDDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Bugeseravs
1.02
AS KigaliGoal Probability
Bugesera
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
AS Kigali
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (20%)0-0 (15%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Bugesera+3
Gap#13
AS Kigali
WR 46% 31 pts
WR 33% 24 pts
Bugesera
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Bugesera v Gasogi … | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Bugesera v Kiyovu … | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Bugesera v Amagaju | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Bugesera v Musanze | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Bugesera v Gorilla | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Bugesera v APR | 2-2 |
| Jan 11 | Bugesera v Etincel… | 1-2 |
| Jan 03 | Bugesera v APR | 2-1 |
| Dec 26 | Bugesera v Police | 1-0 |
| Dec 19 | Bugesera v AS Kiga… | 0-0 |
AS Kigali
8.0%
| Mar 15 | AS Kiga… v Kiyovu … | 3-1 |
| Mar 08 | AS Kiga… v Muhanga | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | AS Kiga… v Etincel… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | AS Kiga… v Al Merr… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | AS Kiga… v Amagaju | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | AS Kiga… v Police | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | AS Kiga… v Rayon S… | 0-1 |
| Jan 09 | AS Kiga… v Rutsiro | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | AS Kiga… v Etincel… | 0-1 |
| Dec 29 | AS Kiga… v Al Hila… | 4-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 19, 2025 | AS Kigali | 0-0 | Bugesera |
| Feb 08, 2025 | AS Kigali | 1-0 | Bugesera |
| Dec 07, 2024 | Bugesera | 1-2 | AS Kigali |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Bugesera | 0-0 | AS Kigali |
| Aug 21, 2023 | AS Kigali | 1-0 | Bugesera |
| May 28, 2023 | Bugesera | 2-1 | AS Kigali |
| Nov 06, 2022 | AS Kigali | 0-0 | Bugesera |
| May 21, 2022 | AS Kigali | 0-0 | Bugesera |
| Jan 19, 2022 | Bugesera | 1-2 | AS Kigali |
| Jun 19, 2021 | Bugesera | 0-1 | AS Kigali |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
58%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Bugesera in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.