First Division · Mar 16, 2026 17:00
Ethnikos Achna
PWR 35
AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
Ethnikos Achna
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
AEK Larnaca Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)0-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.63x
DC X2
84%
Away/Draw
1.25x
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
Yes 50%
Over 3.5
19%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ethnikos Achna
WWLLL
STABLE
AEK Larnaca
DWDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.9%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Ethnikos Achnavs
0.95
AEK LarnacaGoal Probability
Ethnikos Ac…
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
AEK Larnaca
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (15%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (11%)0-0 (11%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 11% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 3.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Ethnikos Ac…-9
Gap#4
AEK Larnaca
WR 50% 23 pts
WR 58% 50 pts
Ethnikos Achna
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Ethniko… v Spartak… | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Ethniko… v Halkano… | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Ethniko… v Olympia… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Ethniko… v Omonia … | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Ethniko… v APEA | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Ethniko… v Apollon… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Ethniko… v Digenis… | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Ethniko… v Apoel N… | 3-2 |
| Feb 14 | Ethniko… v AE Zaka… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Ethniko… v Ahirona… | 1-1 |
AEK Larnaca
8.0%
| Mar 12 | AEK Lar… v Crystal… | 0-0 |
| Mar 06 | AEK Lar… v Akritas | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | AEK Lar… v Olympia… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | AEK Lar… v Omonia … | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | AEK Lar… v Apollon… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | AEK Lar… v Apoel N… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | AEK Lar… v Enosis | 5-0 |
| Jan 25 | AEK Lar… v Pafos FC | 1-2 |
| Jan 18 | AEK Lar… v Digenis… | 2-1 |
| Jan 14 | AEK Lar… v Omonia … | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 06, 2025 | AEK Larnaca | 2-1 | Ethnikos Achna |
| Jan 08, 2025 | Ethnikos Achna | 2-2 | AEK Larnaca |
| Sep 22, 2024 | AEK Larnaca | 2-2 | Ethnikos Achna |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Ethnikos Achna | 0-3 | AEK Larnaca |
| Aug 28, 2023 | AEK Larnaca | 5-5 | Ethnikos Achna |
| May 04, 2022 | Ethnikos Achna | 3-1 | AEK Larnaca |
| Apr 26, 2022 | AEK Larnaca | 1-2 | Ethnikos Achna |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Ethnikos Achna | 0-0 | AEK Larnaca |
| Oct 31, 2021 | AEK Larnaca | 1-0 | Ethnikos Achna |
| Aug 08, 2021 | Ethnikos Achna | 0-0 | AEK Larnaca |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
32%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ethnikos Achna struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.