HNL · Mar 22, 2026 16:45
HNK Gorica
PWR 0
HNK Rijeka
PWR 35
HNK Gorica
PWR 0
VS
HNK Rijeka
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
HNK Gorica Win
Score
?
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (55%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (5%)2-0 (3%)0-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
2%
Under 2.5
98%
98%
BTTS
No
No 6%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
0Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
HNK Gorica
DDLWD
STABLE
HNK Rijeka
LLWWW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.4%) - VETO 1X2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.32
HNK Goricavs
0.27
HNK RijekaGoal Probability
HNK Gorica
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
HNK Rijeka
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (16%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
HNK Gorica-5
Gap#3
HNK Rijeka
WR 31% 28 pts
WR 25% 38 pts
HNK Gorica
10.0%
| Mar 14 | HNK Gor… v NK Osij… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | HNK Gor… v NK Slav… | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | HNK Gor… v Dinamo … | 4-2 |
| Feb 21 | HNK Gor… v Istra 1… | 0-2 |
| Feb 15 | HNK Gor… v Vukovar | 0-0 |
| Feb 06 | HNK Gor… v NK Loko… | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | HNK Gor… v HNK Haj… | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | HNK Gor… v NK Vara… | 1-2 |
| Dec 21 | HNK Gor… v HNK Rij… | 1-0 |
| Dec 13 | HNK Gor… v NK Osij… | 1-1 |
HNK Rijeka
12.0%
| Mar 15 | HNK Rij… v Istra 1… | 0-2 |
| Mar 12 | HNK Rij… v Strasbo… | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | HNK Rij… v Vukovar | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | HNK Rij… v HNK Haj… | 3-2 |
| Mar 01 | HNK Rij… v NK Loko… | 2-0 |
| Feb 26 | HNK Rij… v Omonia … | 3-1 |
| Feb 22 | HNK Rij… v HNK Haj… | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | HNK Rij… v Omonia … | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | HNK Rij… v NK Vara… | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | HNK Rij… v Dinamo … | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Dec 21, 2025 | HNK Rijeka | 1-0 | HNK Gorica |
| Oct 05, 2025 | HNK Gorica | 1-3 | HNK Rijeka |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
HNK Rijeka in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.