HNL · Mar 20, 2026 17:00
Istra 1961
PWR 35
NK Varaždin
PWR 35
Istra 1961
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
NK Varaždin
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (22%)1-0 (21%)0-1 (12%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
19%
Under 2.5
81%
81%
BTTS
No
No 26%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Istra 1961
WLLLL
STABLE
NK Varaždin
WLDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Istra 1961vs
0.55
NK VaraždinGoal Probability
Istra 1961
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
NK Varaždin
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (10%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (6%)3-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Istra 1961-2
Gap#4
NK Varaždin
WR 33% 33 pts
WR 31% 37 pts
Istra 1961
4.0%
| Mar 15 | Istra 1… v HNK Rij… | 0-2 |
| Mar 06 | Istra 1… v NK Osij… | 0-1 |
| Feb 27 | Istra 1… v NK Slav… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Istra 1… v HNK Gor… | 0-2 |
| Feb 14 | Istra 1… v Dinamo … | 4-0 |
| Feb 07 | Istra 1… v Vukovar | 3-2 |
| Jan 30 | Istra 1… v NK Loko… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Istra 1… v HNK Haj… | 1-2 |
| Jan 20 | Istra 1… v HNK Rij… | 1-2 |
| Dec 19 | Istra 1… v NK Vara… | 1-3 |
NK Varaždin
8.0%
| Mar 13 | NK Vara… v Vukovar | 2-0 |
| Mar 10 | NK Vara… v Bjelovar | 2-0 |
| Mar 07 | NK Vara… v NK Loko… | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | NK Vara… v Kustosi… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | NK Vara… v HNK Haj… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | NK Vara… v Uskok K… | 1-3 |
| Feb 22 | NK Vara… v Dinamo … | 0-4 |
| Feb 14 | NK Vara… v HNK Rij… | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | NK Vara… v NK Osij… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | NK Vara… v Celtic | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 19, 2025 | NK Varaždin | 1-3 | Istra 1961 |
| Oct 03, 2025 | Istra 1961 | 1-0 | NK Varaždin |
| May 11, 2025 | Istra 1961 | 0-0 | NK Varaždin |
| Mar 08, 2025 | NK Varaždin | 0-0 | Istra 1961 |
| Dec 07, 2024 | Istra 1961 | 0-0 | NK Varaždin |
| Sep 20, 2024 | NK Varaždin | 1-0 | Istra 1961 |
| May 17, 2024 | Istra 1961 | 2-0 | NK Varaždin |
| Mar 08, 2024 | NK Varaždin | 2-2 | Istra 1961 |
| Dec 05, 2023 | NK Varaždin | 3-2 | Istra 1961 |
| Dec 01, 2023 | Istra 1961 | 2-0 | NK Varaždin |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
65%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Istra 1961 struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.