Stars League · Mar 18, 2026 18:30
Al-Gharafa
PWR 35
Al Ahli Doha
PWR 35
Al-Gharafa
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Al Ahli Doha
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Al-Gharafa Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
72%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (8%)0-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.45x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.98x
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS
Yes 58%
Over 3.5
51%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Al-Gharafa
LWLLL
STABLE
Al Ahli Doha
DLLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElevated draw risk (21.4%) - consider AHPREMIUM with draw risk (21%) - skip
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Al-Gharafavs
1.31
Al Ahli DohaGoal Probability
Al-Gharafa
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Al Ahli Doha
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-3 (6%)0-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 4.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Al-Gharafa+8
Gap#11
Al Ahli Doha
WR 78% 34 pts
WR 33% 17 pts
Al-Gharafa
4.0%
| Mar 12 | Al-Ghar… v Qatar SC | 2-0 |
| Feb 26 | Al-Ghar… v Al-Rayy… | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Al-Ghar… v Al Sham… | 0-1 |
| Feb 17 | Al-Ghar… v Tractor | 0-2 |
| Feb 10 | Al-Ghar… v Al-Itti… | 7-0 |
| Feb 05 | Al-Ghar… v Al Sail… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Al-Ghar… v Al-Sadd… | 1-3 |
| Jan 22 | Al-Ghar… v Sharjah… | 1-1 |
| Jan 19 | Al-Ghar… v Qatar SC | 3-2 |
| Jan 15 | Al-Ghar… v Al-Arab… | 1-2 |
Al Ahli Doha
8.0%
| Mar 13 | Al Ahli… v Al-Arab… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Al Ahli… v Al Shah… | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Al Ahli… v Al-Rayy… | 2-1 |
| Feb 18 | Al Ahli… v Sepahan… | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Al Ahli… v Sepahan… | 2-2 |
| Feb 06 | Al Ahli… v Al Wakr… | 3-2 |
| Jan 31 | Al Ahli… v Qatar SC | 1-3 |
| Jan 16 | Al Ahli… v Al-Sadd… | 2-0 |
| Jan 07 | Al Ahli… v Al Sham… | 4-2 |
| Dec 29 | Al Ahli… v UMM Sal… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 25, 2025 | Al Ahli Doha | 1-3 | Al-Gharafa |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
76%
Market
52%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Al-Gharafa struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.