Eredivisie · Mar 22, 2026 13:30
Feyenoord
PWR 35
Ajax
PWR 35
Feyenoord
PWR 35
4-2
predicted
Ajax
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Feyenoord Win
Score
4-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (14%)3-0 (14%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
46%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Feyenoord
WDLWW
STABLE
Ajax
WLDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 62% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 69% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (30.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.84
Feyenoordvs
0.50
AjaxGoal Probability
Feyenoord
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Ajax
0
61%
1
30%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (5%)1-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Feyenoord+2
Gap#4
Ajax
WR 71% 52 pts
WR 23% 47 pts
Feyenoord
14.0%
| Mar 15 | Feyenoo… v Excelsi… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Feyenoo… v NAC Bre… | 3-3 |
| Mar 01 | Feyenoo… v FC Twen… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Feyenoo… v Telstar | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Feyenoo… v GO Ahea… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Feyenoo… v Utrecht | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Feyenoo… v PSV Ein… | 3-0 |
| Jan 29 | Feyenoo… v Real Be… | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Feyenoo… v Heracles | 4-2 |
| Jan 22 | Feyenoo… v Sturm G… | 3-0 |
Ajax
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Ajax v Sparta … | 4-0 |
| Mar 07 | Ajax v Groning… | 3-1 |
| Mar 01 | Ajax v PEC Zwo… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Ajax v NEC Nij… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Ajax v Fortuna… | 4-1 |
| Feb 08 | Ajax v AZ Alkm… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Ajax v Excelsi… | 2-2 |
| Jan 28 | Ajax v Olympia… | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | Ajax v FC Vole… | 2-0 |
| Jan 20 | Ajax v Villarr… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 14, 2025 | Ajax | 2-0 | Feyenoord |
| Feb 02, 2025 | Ajax | 2-1 | Feyenoord |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Feyenoord | 0-2 | Ajax |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Feyenoord | 0-2 | Ajax |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Feyenoord | 6-0 | Ajax |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Feyenoord | 6-0 | Ajax |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Ajax | 0-4 | Feyenoord |
| Apr 05, 2023 | Feyenoord | 1-2 | Ajax |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Ajax | 2-3 | Feyenoord |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Feyenoord | 1-1 | Ajax |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
67%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Feyenoord in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.