Challenge League · Mar 21, 2026 17:00
FC Aarau
PWR 35
Neuchâtel Xamax
PWR 35
FC Aarau
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Neuchâtel Xamax
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC Aarau Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-0 (5%)1-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
65%
65%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Aarau
WWWDL
UP
Neuchâtel Xamax
WDDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElevated draw risk (21.5%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.75
FC Aarauvs
0.62
Neuchâtel XamaxGoal Probability
FC Aarau
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Neuchâtel X…
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)3-2 (6%)1-1 (6%)1-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 4.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 5.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
FC Aarau+3
Gap#5
Neuchâtel X…
WR 77% 59 pts
WR 31% 33 pts
FC Aarau
14.0%
| Mar 13 | FC Aarau v FC Vaduz | 2-0 |
| Mar 06 | FC Aarau v Étoile … | 0-3 |
| Feb 27 | FC Aarau v Rappers… | 5-3 |
| Feb 20 | FC Aarau v Stade N… | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | FC Aarau v Stade L… | 4-2 |
| Feb 07 | FC Aarau v FC WIL … | 2-2 |
| Jan 30 | FC Aarau v Yverdon… | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | FC Aarau v Bellinz… | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | FC Aarau v FK Crve… | 4-1 |
| Jan 06 | FC Aarau v Dynamo … | 3-2 |
Neuchâtel Xamax
12.0%
| Mar 15 | Neuchât… v Rappers… | 3-2 |
| Mar 06 | Neuchât… v Stade N… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Neuchât… v FC WIL … | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Neuchât… v FC Vaduz | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Neuchât… v Étoile … | 1-3 |
| Feb 08 | Neuchât… v Stade L… | 3-0 |
| Feb 03 | Neuchât… v Yverdon… | 1-2 |
| Jan 30 | Neuchât… v Bellinz… | 5-0 |
| Jan 25 | Neuchât… v Yverdon… | 1-2 |
| Jan 21 | Neuchât… v Bulle | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 28, 2025 | Neuchâtel Xam… | 1-2 | FC Aarau |
| Aug 09, 2025 | FC Aarau | 2-0 | Neuchâtel Xam… |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Neuchâtel Xam… | 1-1 | FC Aarau |
| Mar 07, 2025 | FC Aarau | 2-0 | Neuchâtel Xam… |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Neuchâtel Xam… | 1-3 | FC Aarau |
| Aug 03, 2024 | FC Aarau | 1-3 | Neuchâtel Xam… |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Neuchâtel Xam… | 3-1 | FC Aarau |
| Mar 01, 2024 | FC Aarau | 2-0 | Neuchâtel Xam… |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Neuchâtel Xam… | 2-1 | FC Aarau |
| Aug 06, 2023 | FC Aarau | 2-3 | Neuchâtel Xam… |
Decision Breakdown
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
68%
Market
50%
Key Factors
FC Aarau in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.