Segunda División · Mar 22, 2026 17:30
Las Palmas
PWR 39
Sporting Gijón
PWR 35
Las Palmas
PWR 39
1-0
predicted
Sporting Gijón
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Las Palmas to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (11%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No 46%
Over 3.5
31%
Team Comparison
36Attack41
75Defense60
Goals/G
1.21.4
Conc/G
0.81.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Las Palmas
WWWDD
UP
Sporting Gijón
WLDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Las Palmasvs
0.72
Sporting GijónGoal Probability
Las Palmas
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Sporting Gi…
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)1-2 (7%)2-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 3.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Las Palmas+2
Gap#8
Sporting Gi…
WR 47% 48 pts
WR 36% 45 pts
Las Palmas
16.0%
| Mar 16 | Las Pal… v Albacete | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Las Pal… v AD Ceut… | 4-0 |
| Mar 01 | Las Pal… v Cultura… | 0-3 |
| Feb 21 | Las Pal… v Castell… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Las Pal… v Mirandes | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Las Pal… v Burgos | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Las Pal… v Real So… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Las Pal… v Cordoba | 1-2 |
| Jan 18 | Las Pal… v Racing … | 4-1 |
| Jan 10 | Las Pal… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
Sporting Gijón
10.0%
| Mar 15 | Sportin… v Castell… | 4-1 |
| Mar 08 | Sportin… v FC Ando… | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Sportin… v Leganes | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Sportin… v Vallado… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Sportin… v Albacete | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Sportin… v Huesca | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Sportin… v Eibar | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Sportin… v Mirandes | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Sportin… v Cultura… | 2-4 |
| Jan 09 | Sportin… v Cadiz | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 02, 2025 | Sporting Gijón | 0-0 | Las Palmas |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
56%
Market
50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Las Palmas in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.