Segunda División · Mar 23, 2026 19:30
Castellón
PWR 41
Cultural Leonesa
PWR 29
Castellón
PWR 41
4-1
predicted
Cultural Leonesa
PWR 29
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Castellón Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
72%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (10%)1-0 (5%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
55%
55%
Team Comparison
48Attack31
69Defense53
Goals/G
1.61.0
Conc/G
1.01.6
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Castellón
LLLDW
DOWN
Cultural Leone…
LLLDD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElevated draw risk (21.0%) - consider AHPREMIUM with draw risk (21%) - skip
Expected Goals (xG)
4.08
Castellónvs
0.36
Cultural Leone…Goal Probability
Castellón
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Cultural Le…
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (10%)4-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 4.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Castellón+16
Gap#21
Cultural Le…
WR 64% 49 pts
WR 33% 27 pts
Castellón
6.0%
| Mar 15 | Castell… v Sportin… | 4-1 |
| Mar 07 | Castell… v Real So… | 4-2 |
| Feb 28 | Castell… v Racing … | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | Castell… v Las Pal… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Castell… v Deporti… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Castell… v Vallado… | 0-4 |
| Feb 01 | Castell… v FC Ando… | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | Castell… v Zaragoza | 0-0 |
| Jan 16 | Castell… v Leganes | 2-0 |
| Jan 11 | Castell… v Granada… | 0-0 |
Cultural Leone…
4.0%
| Mar 14 | Cultura… v Racing … | 1-2 |
| Mar 09 | Cultura… v Almería | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Cultura… v Las Pal… | 0-3 |
| Feb 21 | Cultura… v Leganes | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Cultura… v Zaragoza | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Cultura… v Malaga | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Cultura… v Deporti… | 0-1 |
| Jan 26 | Cultura… v AD Ceut… | 3-1 |
| Jan 17 | Cultura… v Sportin… | 2-4 |
| Jan 13 | Cultura… v Athleti… | 3-4 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 20, 2025 | Cultural Leon… | 1-3 | Castellón |
Decision Breakdown
CS68+S65 (82.8%)S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)M85+S60 (75.3%)CS68+M80 (75.0%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
94%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Castellón struggling (3L in last 5)
Cultural Leonesa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.