Bundesliga · Mar 21, 2026 14:30
VfL Wolfsburg
PWR 35
Werder Bremen
PWR 35
VfL Wolfsburg
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Werder Bremen
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS
Yes 54%
Over 3.5
39%
Team Comparison
30Attack0
70Defense100
Goals/G
1.00.0
Conc/G
1.00.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
VfL Wolfsburg
DLLLD
STABLE
Werder Bremen
LWWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
VfL Wolfsburgvs
1.20
Werder BremenGoal Probability
VfL Wolfsbu…
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Werder Brem…
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)1-0 (7%)0-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
VfL Wolfsbu…-2
Gap#15
Werder Brem…
WR 15% 21 pts
WR 15% 25 pts
VfL Wolfsburg
4.0%
| Mar 14 | VfL Wol… v 1899 Ho… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | VfL Wol… v Hamburg… | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | VfL Wol… v VfB Stu… | 4-0 |
| Feb 21 | VfL Wol… v FC Augs… | 2-3 |
| Feb 15 | VfL Wol… v RB Leip… | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | VfL Wol… v Borussi… | 1-2 |
| Jan 30 | VfL Wol… v FC Koln | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | VfL Wol… v FSV Mai… | 3-1 |
| Jan 17 | VfL Wol… v FC Heid… | 1-1 |
| Jan 14 | VfL Wol… v FC St. … | 2-1 |
Werder Bremen
8.0%
| Mar 15 | Werder … v FSV Mai… | 0-2 |
| Mar 08 | Werder … v Union B… | 1-4 |
| Feb 28 | Werder … v FC Heid… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Werder … v FC St. … | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Werder … v Bayern … | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Werder … v SC Frei… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Werder … v Borussi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Werder … v 1899 Ho… | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Werder … v Bayer L… | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | Werder … v Eintrac… | 3-3 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Nov 07, 2025 | Werder Bremen | 2-1 | VfL Wolfsburg |
| Mar 01, 2025 | Werder Bremen | 1-2 | VfL Wolfsburg |
| Oct 20, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2-4 | Werder Bremen |
| Oct 20, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2-4 | Werder Bremen |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Werder Bremen | 0-2 | VfL Wolfsburg |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Werder Bremen | 0-2 | VfL Wolfsburg |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
63%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
VfL Wolfsburg struggling (3L in last 5)
Werder Bremen struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.