Ligue 1 · Mar 21, 2026 18:00
Auxerre
PWR 27
Stade Brestois 29
PWR 31
Auxerre
PWR 27
1-2
predicted
Stade Brestois 29
PWR 31
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Auxerre Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (38%)0-1 (25%)1-0 (11%)0-2 (8%)1-1 (8%)1-2 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
7%
Under 2.5
93%
93%
BTTS
No
No 13%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
21Attack39
57Defense51
Goals/G
0.71.3
Conc/G
1.51.7
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Auxerre
LDDLW
STABLE
Stade Brestois…
LWWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 2/5 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Auxerrevs
0.66
Stade Brestois…Goal Probability
Auxerre
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Stade Brest…
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (22%)0-1 (22%)1-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (11%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 2.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#16
Auxerre-6
Gap#10
Stade Brest…
WR 23% 19 pts
WR 23% 36 pts
Auxerre
8.0%
| Mar 13 | Auxerre v Marseil… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Auxerre v Strasbo… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Auxerre v Lorient | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | Auxerre v Rennes … | 0-3 |
| Feb 15 | Auxerre v Metz | 1-3 |
| Feb 08 | Auxerre v Paris FC | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Auxerre v Toulouse | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Auxerre v Paris S… | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Auxerre v Lens | 1-0 |
| Jan 04 | Auxerre v Stade B… | 2-0 |
Stade Brestois…
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Stade B… v Monaco | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Stade B… v LE Havr… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Stade B… v Metz | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Stade B… v Marseil… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Stade B… v Lille | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Stade B… v Lorient | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | Stade B… v Nice | 2-2 |
| Jan 25 | Stade B… v Toulouse | 0-2 |
| Jan 18 | Stade B… v Lyon | 2-1 |
| Jan 04 | Stade B… v Auxerre | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Jan 04, 2026 | Stade Brestoi… | 2-0 | Auxerre |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Stade Brestoi… | 2-2 | Auxerre |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Auxerre | 3-0 | Stade Brestoi… |
| May 14, 2023 | Stade Brestoi… | 1-0 | Auxerre |
| Oct 02, 2022 | Auxerre | 1-1 | Stade Brestoi… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
47%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Stade Brestois 29 in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.