Premier League · Mar 21, 2026 14:30
Barry Town
PWR 0
Caernarfon Town
PWR 35
Barry Town
PWR 0
VS
Caernarfon Town
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Barry Town Win
Score
?
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (38%)1-0 (29%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (8%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
8%
Under 2.5
92%
92%
BTTS
No
No 10%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
0Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Barry Town
LWWWL
STABLE
Caernarfon Town
LDWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskCombined DR 61% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Barry Townvs
0.20
Caernarfon TownGoal Probability
Barry Town
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Caernarfon …
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)0-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 29% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 76% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Barry Town-1
Gap#4
Caernarfon …
WR 36% 30 pts
WR 46% 34 pts
Barry Town
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Barry T… v Colwyn … | 3-1 |
| Mar 03 | Barry T… v Penybont | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Barry T… v GAP Con… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Barry T… v Caernar… | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | Barry T… v Colwyn … | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Barry T… v The New… | 1-0 |
| Jan 13 | Barry T… v Llanell… | 5-1 |
| Jan 03 | Barry T… v GAP Con… | 3-1 |
| Dec 31 | Barry T… v Briton … | 2-1 |
| Dec 26 | Barry T… v Cardiff… | 1-0 |
Caernarfon Town
6.0%
| Mar 13 | Caernar… v GAP Con… | 2-4 |
| Mar 08 | Caernar… v Rhyl | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Caernar… v Colwyn … | 3-0 |
| Feb 20 | Caernar… v The New… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Caernar… v Barry T… | 0-2 |
| Feb 06 | Caernar… v GAP Con… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Caernar… v Colwyn … | 4-1 |
| Jan 24 | Caernar… v Penybont | 0-0 |
| Jan 13 | Caernar… v GAP Con… | 2-2 |
| Dec 31 | Caernar… v Bala To… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 14, 2026 | Caernarfon To… | 0-2 | Barry Town |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Barry Town | 2-2 | Caernarfon To… |
| Sep 07, 2025 | Caernarfon To… | 3-1 | Barry Town |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Barry Town in strong form (3W in last 5)
Caernarfon Town struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.