Premier League · Mar 21, 2026 14:30
GAP Connah S Quay FC
PWR 35
Penybont
PWR 35
GAP Connah S Quay FC
PWR 35
4-2
predicted
Penybont
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
GAP Connah S Quay FC Win
Score
4-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (10%)3-1 (5%)1-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
32%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
GAP Connah S Q…
WLLDD
STABLE
Penybont
LLLDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.08
GAP Connah S Q…vs
0.38
PenybontGoal Probability
GAP Connah …
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Penybont
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (16%)1-0 (14%)3-0 (12%)2-1 (8%)4-0 (7%)1-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
GAP Connah …+1
Gap#3
Penybont
WR 64% 47 pts
WR 55% 38 pts
GAP Connah S Q…
8.0%
| Mar 13 | GAP Con… v Caernar… | 2-4 |
| Mar 03 | GAP Con… v The New… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | GAP Con… v Barry T… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | GAP Con… v Penybont | 0-0 |
| Feb 06 | GAP Con… v Caernar… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | GAP Con… v Colwyn … | 2-2 |
| Jan 13 | GAP Con… v Caernar… | 2-2 |
| Jan 03 | GAP Con… v Barry T… | 3-1 |
| Dec 31 | GAP Con… v The New… | 3-1 |
| Dec 26 | GAP Con… v Flint T… | 0-2 |
Penybont
2.0%
| Mar 14 | Penybont v The New… | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Penybont v Barry T… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Penybont v Colwyn … | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Penybont v GAP Con… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Penybont v The New… | 6-0 |
| Jan 24 | Penybont v Caernar… | 0-0 |
| Jan 13 | Penybont v Cardiff… | 1-1 |
| Jan 01 | Penybont v Llanell… | 0-1 |
| Dec 26 | Penybont v Briton … | 1-1 |
| Dec 13 | Penybont v Flint T… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 14, 2026 | Penybont | 0-0 | GAP Connah S … |
| Nov 08, 2025 | GAP Connah S … | 4-0 | Penybont |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Penybont | 0-1 | GAP Connah S … |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
54%
Market
50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Penybont struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.