First Division · Mar 20, 2026 19:45
Finn Harps
PWR 35
Kerry FC
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Finn Harps
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (21%)2-0 (15%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
71%
BTTS
No
No 29%
Over 3.5
31%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kerry FC
DDDLL
STABLE
Finn Harps
LDDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/5 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Kerry FCvs
0.47
Finn HarpsGoal Probability
Kerry FC
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Finn Harps
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 3.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Kerry FC-3
Gap#6
Finn Harps
WR 0% 2 pts
WR 0% 5 pts
Kerry FC
6.0%
| Mar 13 | Kerry FC v Wexford | 0-0 |
| Mar 06 | Kerry FC v Treaty … | 2-2 |
| Feb 27 | Kerry FC v Longfor… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Kerry FC v Athlone… | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Kerry FC v UCD | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | Kerry FC v Cork Ci… | 4-1 |
| Jan 31 | Kerry FC v Shamroc… | 0-1 |
| Jan 23 | Kerry FC v Polessya | 2-1 |
| Jan 20 | Kerry FC v Wexford | 3-2 |
| Jan 13 | Kerry FC v Treaty … | 2-4 |
Finn Harps
8.0%
| Mar 13 | Finn Ha… v Treaty … | 0-1 |
| Mar 06 | Finn Ha… v Wexford | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Finn Ha… v Cobh Ra… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Finn Ha… v UCD | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Finn Ha… v Athlone… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Finn Ha… v Sligo R… | 1-0 |
| Jan 13 | Finn Ha… v Sligo R… | 1-0 |
| Oct 17 | Finn Ha… v UCD | 3-4 |
| Oct 13 | Finn Ha… v Kerry FC | 1-1 |
| Oct 10 | Finn Ha… v Dundalk | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Oct 13, 2025 | Finn Harps | 1-1 | Kerry FC |
| Aug 08, 2025 | Kerry FC | 0-1 | Finn Harps |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Finn Harps | 4-2 | Kerry FC |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Kerry FC | 2-0 | Finn Harps |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Kerry FC | 1-1 | Finn Harps |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.