Premier Division · Mar 16, 2026 19:45

Dundalk
PWR 35
5-0
predicted

Sligo Rovers
PWR 35
49% 24% 27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Dundalk Win
Score
5-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (18%)2-0 (17%)1-0 (11%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (4%)0-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
DC 1X 81%
Home/Draw
1.3x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.44x
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS No
No 19%
Over 3.5
36%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Dundalk WDLDD
STABLE
Sligo Rovers LWLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 50% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 83% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.16
Dundalk
vs
0.22
Sligo Rovers
Goal Probability
Dundalk
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Sligo Rovers
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (6%)3-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 95% 5% OVER
1.5 80% 20% OVER
2.5 58% 42% -
3.5 36% 65% -
4.5 19% 81% UNDER
5.5 9% 92% UNDER
6.5 3% 97% UNDER
League Position
#5
Dundalk
+4
Gap
#9
Sligo Rovers
WR 50% 7 pts WR 0% 4 pts
Dundalk 10.0%
Mar 13 Dundalk v Waterfo… 5-0
Mar 06 Dundalk v Galway … 2-2
Feb 27 Dundalk v St Patr… 4-0
Feb 23 Dundalk v Shamroc… 1-1
Feb 20 Dundalk v Droghed… 1-1
Feb 13 Dundalk v Derry C… 2-2
Oct 17 Dundalk v Cobh Ra… 1-2
Oct 10 Dundalk v Finn Ha… 3-0
Oct 03 Dundalk v Athlone… 1-1
Sep 26 Dundalk v UCD 3-2
Sligo Rovers 6.0%
Mar 13 Sligo R… v Shamroc… 0-2
Mar 07 Sligo R… v Droghed… 2-1
Feb 27 Sligo R… v Galway … 1-0
Feb 20 Sligo R… v Waterfo… 0-0
Feb 14 Sligo R… v Bohemia… 0-4
Feb 06 Sligo R… v Derry C… 2-1
Jan 31 Sligo R… v Finn Ha… 1-0
Jan 24 Sligo R… v Galway … 6-0
Jan 13 Sligo R… v Finn Ha… 1-0
Jan 09 Sligo R… v Kerry FC 1-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Jul 18, 2025 Dundalk 0-2 Sligo Rovers
Sep 21, 2024 Sligo Rovers 2-1 Dundalk
Jun 13, 2024 Dundalk 1-0 Sligo Rovers
Apr 19, 2024 Sligo Rovers 1-1 Dundalk
Mar 04, 2024 Dundalk 0-5 Sligo Rovers
Oct 20, 2023 Sligo Rovers 0-2 Dundalk
Aug 11, 2023 Dundalk 1-0 Sligo Rovers
May 06, 2023 Sligo Rovers 0-1 Dundalk
Apr 07, 2023 Dundalk 1-2 Sligo Rovers
Oct 21, 2022 Dundalk 3-3 Sligo Rovers
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
71%
Market
61%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sligo Rovers struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.