Premier Division · Mar 16, 2026 19:45
St Patrick's Athl.
PWR 35
Derry City
PWR 0
St Patrick's Athl.
PWR 35
VS
Derry City
PWR 0
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
St Patrick's Athl. Win
Score
?
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (18%)2-0 (18%)1-0 (11%)0-0 (4%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.45x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.8x
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
19%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense0
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
St Patrick's A…
WWWWL
UP
Derry City
LLWLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Odds data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.10
St Patrick's A…vs
0.20
Derry CityGoal Probability
St Patrick'…
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Derry City
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (15%)0-0 (11%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 66% | 35% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 3.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
St Patrick'…+4
Gap#6
Derry City
WR 100% 13 pts
WR 0% 7 pts
St Patrick's A…
16.0%
| Mar 13 | St Patr… v Droghed… | 4-1 |
| Mar 06 | St Patr… v Shelbou… | 2-3 |
| Mar 02 | St Patr… v Galway … | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | St Patr… v Dundalk | 4-0 |
| Feb 20 | St Patr… v Shamroc… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | St Patr… v Bohemia… | 0-0 |
| Nov 01 | St Patr… v Melbour… | 0-0 |
| Oct 24 | St Patr… v Wexford | 1-1 |
| Oct 20 | St Patr… v Bohemia… | 0-0 |
| Oct 17 | St Patr… v Shamroc… | 1-0 |
Derry City
6.0%
| Mar 13 | Derry C… v Shelbou… | 1-2 |
| Mar 06 | Derry C… v Shamroc… | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Derry C… v Waterfo… | 4-2 |
| Feb 20 | Derry C… v Bohemia… | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Derry C… v Dundalk | 2-2 |
| Feb 06 | Derry C… v Sligo R… | 2-1 |
| Aug 29 | Derry C… v St Patr… | 2-2 |
| Jun 23 | Derry C… v St Patr… | 0-1 |
| May 05 | Derry C… v St Patr… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Derry C… v St Patr… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Aug 29, 2025 | Derry City | 2-2 | St Patrick's … |
| Jun 23, 2025 | St Patrick's … | 0-1 | Derry City |
| May 05, 2025 | Derry City | 1-0 | St Patrick's … |
| Mar 03, 2025 | St Patrick's … | 2-0 | Derry City |
| Oct 25, 2024 | St Patrick's … | 1-0 | Derry City |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Derry City | 3-0 | St Patrick's … |
| May 17, 2024 | St Patrick's … | 0-1 | Derry City |
| Apr 22, 2024 | Derry City | 3-1 | St Patrick's … |
| Mar 01, 2024 | Derry City | 2-1 | St Patrick's … |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
86%
Market
47%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
St Patrick's Athl. in strong form (4W in last 5)
Derry City struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.