Championship · Mar 20, 2026 20:00
Preston
PWR 36
Stoke City
PWR 37
Preston
PWR 36
2-1
predicted
Stoke City
PWR 37
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Preston Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (27%)0-0 (23%)2-0 (15%)1-1 (8%)0-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
18%
Under 2.5
82%
82%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
37Attack34
66Defense72
Goals/G
1.21.1
Conc/G
1.10.9
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Preston
LLLLD
DOWN
Stoke City
WDLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 32% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/4 draws (75%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Prestonvs
0.31
Stoke CityGoal Probability
Preston
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Stoke City
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (13%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-0 (8%)1-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 29% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 76% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Preston-4
Gap#13
Stoke City
WR 37% 49 pts
WR 32% 51 pts
Preston
2.0%
| Mar 14 | Preston v Norwich… | 2-0 |
| Mar 11 | Preston v Coventry | 3-0 |
| Mar 06 | Preston v Oxford … | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Preston v Millwall | 0-2 |
| Feb 24 | Preston v Swansea | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Preston v Blackbu… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Preston v Watford | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | Preston v Portsmo… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Preston v Ipswich | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Preston v Middles… | 4-0 |
Stoke City
10.0%
| Mar 14 | Stoke C… v Watford | 3-1 |
| Mar 10 | Stoke C… v Ipswich | 3-3 |
| Mar 07 | Stoke C… v Swansea | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Stoke C… v Coventry | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Stoke C… v Oxford … | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Stoke C… v Leicest… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Stoke C… v Fulham | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Stoke C… v Charlton | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Stoke C… v West Br… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Stoke C… v Southam… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Dec 26, 2025 | Stoke City | 0-0 | Preston |
| Apr 05, 2025 | Preston | 1-1 | Stoke City |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Stoke City | 0-0 | Preston |
| Mar 09, 2024 | Preston | 1-2 | Stoke City |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Preston struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.