Primeira Liga · Mar 22, 2026 20:30

SC Braga
PWR 35
3-3
predicted

FC Porto
PWR 35
39% 26% 35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC Porto Win
Score
3-3
Confidence
37%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (12%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)1-0 (5%)1-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5 62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
31%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
SC Braga LDWWL
STABLE
FC Porto WWDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateElevated draw risk (22.5%) - consider AHElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
3.85
SC Braga
vs
0.54
FC Porto
Goal Probability
SC Braga
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
20%
FC Porto
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (6%)0-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 94% 6% OVER
1.5 77% 23% OVER
2.5 53% 47% -
3.5 31% 69% UNDER
4.5 15% 85% UNDER
5.5 7% 94% UNDER
6.5 2% 98% UNDER
League Position
#4
SC Braga
-3
Gap
#1
FC Porto
WR 58% 46 pts WR 85% 69 pts
SC Braga 10.0%
Mar 12 SC Braga v Ferencv… 2-0
Mar 07 SC Braga v Sportin… 2-2
Feb 28 SC Braga v Nacional 1-2
Feb 21 SC Braga v Guimara… 3-2
Feb 14 SC Braga v GIL Vic… 2-1
Feb 08 SC Braga v Rio Ave… 3-0
Feb 02 SC Braga v AVS 0-4
Jan 29 SC Braga v GO Ahea… 0-0
Jan 25 SC Braga v Alverca 5-0
Jan 22 SC Braga v Notting… 1-0
FC Porto 14.0%
Mar 15 FC Porto v Moreire… 3-0
Mar 12 FC Porto v VfB Stu… 1-2
Mar 08 FC Porto v Benfica 2-2
Mar 03 FC Porto v Sportin… 1-0
Feb 27 FC Porto v Arouca 3-1
Feb 22 FC Porto v Rio Ave… 1-0
Feb 18 FC Porto v Spartak… 3-1
Feb 15 FC Porto v Nacional 0-1
Feb 09 FC Porto v Sportin… 1-1
Feb 04 FC Porto v Artsakh 3-0
Head-to-Head (6)
Nov 02, 2025 FC Porto 2-1 SC Braga
Mar 08, 2025 SC Braga 1-0 FC Porto
Oct 06, 2024 FC Porto 2-1 SC Braga
May 18, 2024 SC Braga 0-1 FC Porto
May 18, 2024 SC Braga 0-1 FC Porto
Jan 14, 2024 FC Porto 2-0 SC Braga
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Porto in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.