Ligue 1 · Mar 17, 2026 14:00
Mostaganem
PWR 35
Paradou AC
PWR 35
Mostaganem
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Paradou AC
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (53% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
53%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (7%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (5%)3-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.38x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.95x
Over 2.5
70%
70%
Under 2.5
30%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 72%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mostaganem
LLLDL
DOWN
Paradou AC
LLLLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Mostaganemvs
1.82
Paradou ACGoal Probability
Mostaganem
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Paradou AC
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (9%)0-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#16
Mostaganem-2
Gap#14
Paradou AC
WR 27% 14 pts
WR 10% 17 pts
Mostaganem
2.0%
| Mar 13 | Mostaga… v ASO Chl… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Mostaga… v MC Alger | 0-5 |
| Feb 28 | Mostaga… v ES Sétif | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Mostaga… v JS Kaby… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Mostaga… v MB Roui… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Mostaga… v MC Oran | 0-0 |
| Feb 03 | Mostaga… v CS Cons… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Mostaga… v Oued Ak… | 1-0 |
| Jan 15 | Mostaga… v JS Saou… | 0-2 |
| Jan 08 | Mostaga… v El Baya… | 1-0 |
Paradou AC
0.0%
| Mar 13 | Paradou… v MC Alger | 0-2 |
| Mar 06 | Paradou… v JS Kaby… | 3-2 |
| Feb 27 | Paradou… v MC Oran | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Paradou… v Oued Ak… | 4-3 |
| Feb 14 | Paradou… v Ben Akn… | 3-5 |
| Jan 23 | Paradou… v ASO Chl… | 2-0 |
| Jan 08 | Paradou… v ES Sétif | 2-2 |
| Dec 27 | Paradou… v MB Roui… | 1-0 |
| Dec 19 | Paradou… v CS Cons… | 2-0 |
| Nov 20 | Paradou… v El Baya… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 26, 2025 | Paradou AC | 1-0 | Mostaganem |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Paradou AC | 1-3 | Mostaganem |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Mostaganem | 0-2 | Paradou AC |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Paradou AC | 2-1 | Mostaganem |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
46%
Market
46%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Mostaganem struggling (4L in last 5)
Paradou AC struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.