Ligue 1 · Mar 17, 2026 21:00
MC Alger
PWR 35
Khenchela
PWR 35
MC Alger
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Khenchela
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 69% home + 21% draw = 90% combined
92%
accuracy
1.17x
Final Verdict
Prediction
MC Alger Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (17%)2-0 (15%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (4%)0-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
90%
Home/Draw
1.17x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.4x
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
38%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
MC Alger
WWWLD
UP
Khenchela
WLLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Elevated draw risk (21.4%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.42
MC Algervs
0.24
KhenchelaGoal Probability
MC Alger
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Khenchela
0
79%
1
19%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (11%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
MC Alger+7
Gap#8
Khenchela
WR 89% 43 pts
WR 30% 28 pts
MC Alger
14.0%
| Mar 13 | MC Alger v Paradou… | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | MC Alger v Mostaga… | 0-5 |
| Mar 04 | MC Alger v JS Saou… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | MC Alger v CR Belo… | 3-2 |
| Feb 26 | MC Alger v JS Kaby… | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | MC Alger v MC Oran | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | MC Alger v Mamelod… | 2-0 |
| Feb 06 | MC Alger v Al Hila… | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | MC Alger v Saint E… | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | MC Alger v Saint E… | 1-0 |
Khenchela
10.0%
| Mar 13 | Khenche… v JS Kaby… | 2-1 |
| Mar 06 | Khenche… v MC Oran | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Khenche… v Oued Ak… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Khenche… v Ben Akn… | 2-3 |
| Feb 04 | Khenche… v ASO Chl… | 2-2 |
| Jan 23 | Khenche… v ES Sétif | 4-1 |
| Jan 09 | Khenche… v MB Roui… | 2-0 |
| Dec 26 | Khenche… v CS Cons… | 0-0 |
| Dec 19 | Khenche… v El Baya… | 1-2 |
| Dec 13 | Khenche… v MC Alger | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Dec 13, 2025 | MC Alger | 2-1 | Khenchela |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Khenchela | 0-1 | MC Alger |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MC Alger | 2-2 | Khenchela |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Khenchela | 0-1 | MC Alger |
| May 11, 2024 | Khenchela | 1-1 | MC Alger |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Khenchela | 1-2 | MC Alger |
| Dec 16, 2023 | MC Alger | 3-0 | Khenchela |
| May 30, 2023 | MC Alger | 1-0 | Khenchela |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Khenchela | 2-0 | MC Alger |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
74%
Market
65%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
MC Alger in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.