Liga Profesional Argentina · Mar 21, 2026 18:30
Vélez Sarsfield
PWR 35
Lanús
PWR 35
Vélez Sarsfield
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Lanús
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Vélez Sarsfield to win (81% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
81%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (13%)3-0 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Vélez Sarsfield
WDWDW
STABLE
Lanús
WLDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Liga Profesional Argentina
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54
Vélez Sarsfieldvs
0.71
LanúsGoal Probability
Vélez Sarsf…
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Lanús
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (14%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 2.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Vélez Sarsf…+5
Gap#8
Lanús
WR 75% 138 pts
WR 40% 121 pts
Vélez Sarsfield
16.0%
| Mar 14 | Vélez S… v Platense | 0-2 |
| Mar 10 | Vélez S… v Tigre | 1-1 |
| Mar 02 | Vélez S… v Estudia… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Vélez S… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Vélez S… v River P… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Vélez S… v Defensa… | 1-1 |
| Feb 09 | Vélez S… v Boca Ju… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Vélez S… v Indepen… | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Vélez S… v Tallere… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Vélez S… v Institu… | 0-1 |
Lanús
14.0%
| Mar 13 | Lanús v Estudia… | 0-1 |
| Mar 05 | Lanús v Boca Ju… | 0-3 |
| Mar 02 | Lanús v Defensa… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Lanús v Flamengo | 2-3 |
| Feb 20 | Lanús v Flamengo | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Lanús v Indepen… | 2-0 |
| Feb 09 | Lanús v Tallere… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Lanús v Institu… | 2-2 |
| Jan 29 | Lanús v Unión S… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Lanús v San Lor… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Aug 31, 2025 | Vélez Sarsfie… | 3-0 | Lanús |
| May 22, 2025 | Lanús | 2-0 | Vélez Sarsfie… |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Lanús | 0-0 | Vélez Sarsfie… |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Vélez Sarsfield in strong form (3W in last 5)
Lanús in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.