Division Profesional - Apertura · Mar 17, 2026 23:30
Olimpia
PWR 52
Sportivo Luqueño
PWR 42
Olimpia
PWR 52
2-1
predicted
Sportivo Luqueño
PWR 42
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Olimpia Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
77%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (13%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.33x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.2x
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
66%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
45Attack29
66Defense61
Goals/G
1.30.8
Conc/G
1.01.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Olimpia
WDWWW
STABLE
Sportivo Luque…
DLLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy77%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTHOME_STREAKPOINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Olimpiavs
0.65
Sportivo Luque…Goal Probability
Olimpia
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Sportivo Lu…
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (22%)2-0 (16%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Olimpia+3
Gap#6
Sportivo Lu…
WR 43% 73 pts
WR 34% 56 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia | 44 | 19 | 16 | 9 | 56 | 43 | 73 |
| Sportivo Luqu… | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 49 | 56 |
Olimpia
18.0%
| Mar 14 | Olimpia v Deporti… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Olimpia v Club Sp… | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Olimpia v Sportiv… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Olimpia v Sportiv… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Olimpia v Liberta… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Olimpia v Cerro P… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Olimpia v Rubio Ă‘u | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Olimpia v Naciona… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Olimpia v Sportiv… | 3-2 |
| Jan 28 | Olimpia v 2 de Ma… | 1-1 |
Sportivo Luque…
8.0%
| Mar 13 | Sportiv… v Club Sp… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Sportiv… v Liberta… | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Sportiv… v Rubio Ñu | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Sportiv… v Sportiv… | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Sportiv… v Club Gu… | 3-2 |
| Feb 13 | Sportiv… v Deporti… | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | Sportiv… v Sportiv… | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | Sportiv… v Cerro P… | 2-0 |
| Jan 27 | Sportiv… v Naciona… | 1-2 |
| Jan 23 | Sportiv… v 2 de Ma… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 21, 2025 | Sportivo Luqu… | 2-4 | Olimpia |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Olimpia | 2-0 | Sportivo Luqu… |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Olimpia | 3-1 | Sportivo Luqu… |
| Feb 09, 2025 | Sportivo Luqu… | 0-1 | Olimpia |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Sportivo Luqu… | 0-1 | Olimpia |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Olimpia | 4-3 | Sportivo Luqu… |
| May 22, 2024 | Sportivo Luqu… | 0-2 | Olimpia |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Olimpia | 1-0 | Sportivo Luqu… |
| Nov 07, 2023 | Olimpia | 2-1 | Sportivo Luqu… |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Sportivo Luqu… | 0-1 | Olimpia |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
72%
Standings
50%
Market
57%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Olimpia in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.