La Liga · Mar 22, 2026 15:15
Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
Alavés
PWR 32
Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
2-1
predicted
Alavés
PWR 32
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Celta de Vigo Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (16%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No 35%
Over 3.5
32%
Team Comparison
40Attack27
69Defense63
Goals/G
1.30.9
Conc/G
1.01.2
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Celta de Vigo
DDLWW
STABLE
Alavés
DLLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 36% at home = very high riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Celta de Vigovs
0.53
AlavésGoal Probability
Celta de Vi…
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Alavés
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 55% | 46% | - |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Celta de Vi…+11
Gap#17
Alavés
WR 29% 41 pts
WR 14% 28 pts
Celta de Vigo
12.0%
| Mar 15 | Celta d… v Real Be… | 1-1 |
| Mar 12 | Celta d… v Lyon | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Celta d… v Real Ma… | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Celta d… v Girona | 1-2 |
| Feb 26 | Celta d… v PAOK | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Celta d… v Mallorca | 2-0 |
| Feb 19 | Celta d… v PAOK | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Celta d… v Espanyol | 2-2 |
| Feb 06 | Celta d… v Osasuna | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Celta d… v Getafe | 0-0 |
Alavés
6.0%
| Mar 13 | Alavés v Villarr… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Alavés v Valencia | 3-2 |
| Feb 27 | Alavés v Levante | 2-0 |
| Feb 23 | Alavés v Girona | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Alavés v Sevilla… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Alavés v Getafe | 0-2 |
| Feb 04 | Alavés v Real So… | 2-3 |
| Jan 30 | Alavés v Espanyol | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Alavés v Real Be… | 2-1 |
| Jan 18 | Alavés v Atlétic… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 22, 2025 | Alavés | 0-1 | Celta de Vigo |
| Jan 27, 2025 | Alavés | 1-1 | Celta de Vigo |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Celta de Vigo | 2-1 | Alavés |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Alavés | 3-0 | Celta de Vigo |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Celta de Vigo | 1-1 | Alavés |
| May 07, 2022 | Celta de Vigo | 4-0 | Alavés |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Alavés | 1-2 | Celta de Vigo |
| Apr 04, 2021 | Alavés | 1-3 | Celta de Vigo |
| Dec 20, 2020 | Celta de Vigo | 2-0 | Alavés |
| Jun 21, 2020 | Celta de Vigo | 6-0 | Alavés |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
71%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.