La Liga · Mar 21, 2026 20:00
Sevilla FC
PWR 31
Valencia
PWR 29
Sevilla FC
PWR 31
2-1
predicted
Valencia
PWR 29
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sevilla FC Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (22%)0-0 (21%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
20%
Under 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
No
No 26%
Over 3.5
39%
Team Comparison
40Attack31
50Defense52
Goals/G
1.31.0
Conc/G
1.71.6
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Sevilla FC
LDDWD
STABLE
Valencia
LWWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (30.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Sevilla FCvs
0.53
ValenciaGoal Probability
Sevilla FC
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Valencia
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Sevilla FC-1
Gap#13
Valencia
WR 29% 31 pts
WR 14% 32 pts
Sevilla FC
10.0%
| Mar 15 | Sevilla… v Barcelo… | 5-2 |
| Mar 08 | Sevilla… v Rayo Va… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Sevilla… v Real Be… | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | Sevilla… v Getafe | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Sevilla… v Alavés | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Sevilla… v Girona | 1-1 |
| Feb 02 | Sevilla… v Mallorca | 4-1 |
| Jan 24 | Sevilla… v Athleti… | 2-1 |
| Jan 19 | Sevilla… v Elche | 2-2 |
| Jan 12 | Sevilla… v Celta d… | 0-1 |
Valencia
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Valencia v Oviedo | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Valencia v Alavés | 3-2 |
| Mar 01 | Valencia v Osasuna | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Valencia v Villarr… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Valencia v Levante | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Valencia v Real Ma… | 0-2 |
| Feb 04 | Valencia v Athleti… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Valencia v Real Be… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Valencia v Espanyol | 3-2 |
| Jan 18 | Valencia v Getafe | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 07, 2025 | Valencia | 1-1 | Sevilla FC |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Valencia | 1-0 | Sevilla FC |
| Mar 01, 2025 | Valencia | 1-1 | Sevilla FC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Sevilla FC | 1-1 | Valencia |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Sevilla FC | 1-0 | Valencia |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Valencia | 0-0 | Sevilla FC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Valencia | 0-0 | Sevilla FC |
| Feb 05, 2024 | Valencia | 1-2 | Sevilla FC |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Sevilla FC | 1-2 | Valencia |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Valencia | 0-2 | Sevilla FC |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
66%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Valencia in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.