La Liga · Mar 22, 2026 20:00
Real Madrid
PWR 49
Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
Real Madrid
PWR 49
3-1
predicted
Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Real Madrid Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (7%)3-1 (5%)1-0 (3%)2-1 (3%)1-1 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No 35%
Over 3.5
66%
66%
Team Comparison
64Attack52
75Defense77
Goals/G
2.11.7
Conc/G
0.80.8
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Real Madrid
WWWLW
UP
Atlético Madrid
WWWLW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskCombined DR 63% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Real Madridvs
0.44
Atlético MadridGoal Probability
Real Madrid
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Atlético Ma…
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)4-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)2-0 (5%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 65% | 35% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 5.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Real Madrid+1
Gap#3
Atlético Ma…
WR 86% 66 pts
WR 31% 57 pts
Real Madrid
16.0%
| Mar 14 | Real Ma… v Elche | 4-1 |
| Mar 11 | Real Ma… v Manches… | 3-0 |
| Mar 06 | Real Ma… v Celta d… | 1-2 |
| Mar 02 | Real Ma… v Getafe | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Real Ma… v Benfica | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Real Ma… v Osasuna | 2-1 |
| Feb 17 | Real Ma… v Benfica | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Real Ma… v Real So… | 4-1 |
| Feb 08 | Real Ma… v Valencia | 0-2 |
| Feb 01 | Real Ma… v Rayo Va… | 2-1 |
Atlético Madrid
16.0%
| Mar 14 | Atlétic… v Getafe | 1-0 |
| Mar 10 | Atlétic… v Tottenh… | 5-2 |
| Mar 07 | Atlétic… v Real So… | 3-2 |
| Mar 03 | Atlétic… v FC Barc… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Atlétic… v Oviedo | 0-1 |
| Feb 24 | Atlétic… v Club Br… | 4-1 |
| Feb 21 | Atlétic… v Espanyol | 4-2 |
| Feb 18 | Atlétic… v Club Br… | 3-3 |
| Feb 15 | Atlétic… v Rayo Va… | 3-0 |
| Feb 12 | Atlétic… v FC Barc… | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 08, 2026 | Real Madrid | 1-2 | Atlético Madr… |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Atlético Madr… | 5-2 | Real Madrid |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Atlético Madr… | 1-0 | Real Madrid |
| Mar 04, 2025 | Real Madrid | 2-1 | Atlético Madr… |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Real Madrid | 1-1 | Atlético Madr… |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Atlético Madr… | 1-1 | Real Madrid |
| Feb 04, 2024 | Real Madrid | 1-1 | Atlético Madr… |
| Jan 18, 2024 | Atlético Madr… | 4-2 | Real Madrid |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Real Madrid | 5-3 | Atlético Madr… |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Atlético Madr… | 3-1 | Real Madrid |
Decision Breakdown
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
68%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Real Madrid in strong form (4W in last 5)
Atlético Madrid in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.