FAW Championship · Mar 21, 2026 14:00
Cwmbran Celtic
PWR 27
Caerau (Ely)
PWR 52
PWR 52
2-1
predicted
Cwmbran Celtic
PWR 27
69%
20%
11%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 1.8/g, Away concedes 2.2/g, expected 3.3 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Caerau (Ely) to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (6%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (3%)3-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No 49%
Over 3.5
70%
70%
Team Comparison
64Attack40
48Defense23
Goals/G
1.81.1
Conc/G
1.52.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Caerau (Ely)
WWWWL
UP
Cwmbran Celtic
LLLLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Caerau (Ely)vs
0.68
Cwmbran CelticGoal Probability
Caerau (Ely)
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Cwmbran Cel…
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (9%)4-0 (9%)5-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 5.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Caerau (Ely)+9
Gap#24
Cwmbran Cel…
WR 43% 80 pts
WR 18% 43 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 54 | 23 | 11 | 20 | 99 | 80 | 80 |
| Cwmbran Celtic | 61 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 69 | 134 | 43 |
Caerau (Ely)
16.0%
| Mar 14 | Caerau … v Baglan … | 0-5 |
| Mar 10 | Caerau … v Treowen… | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Caerau … v Afan Li… | 4-1 |
| Mar 01 | Caerau … v Aberyst… | 0-4 |
| Feb 21 | Caerau … v Carmart… | 3-4 |
| Feb 13 | Caerau … v Cambria… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Caerau … v Ammanfo… | 3-1 |
| Jan 31 | Caerau … v Bangor … | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Caerau … v Trethom… | 1-5 |
| Jan 16 | Caerau … v Trefelin | 1-2 |
Cwmbran Celtic
0.0%
| Mar 10 | Cwmbran… v Llantwi… | 1-3 |
| Mar 06 | Cwmbran… v Ynyshir… | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Cwmbran… v Llantwi… | 3-1 |
| Jan 30 | Cwmbran… v Trethom… | 2-0 |
| Jan 16 | Cwmbran… v Cardiff… | 0-1 |
| Jan 10 | Cwmbran… v Carmart… | 2-2 |
| Jan 02 | Cwmbran… v Treowen… | 1-2 |
| Dec 27 | Cwmbran… v Newport… | 2-2 |
| Nov 29 | Cwmbran… v Ynyshir… | 1-0 |
| Nov 07 | Cwmbran… v Pontypr… | 7-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 10, 2025 | Cwmbran Celtic | 0-2 | Caerau (Ely) |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Caerau (Ely) in strong form (4W in last 5)
Cwmbran Celtic struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.