Serie A · Mar 21, 2026 14:00
Parma
PWR 28
Cremonese
PWR 30
Parma
PWR 28
1-1
predicted
Cremonese
PWR 30
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Parma Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (17%)3-0 (15%)1-0 (13%)2-1 (7%)3-1 (6%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
20Attack26
61Defense60
Goals/G
0.70.9
Conc/G
1.31.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Parma
LDDWW
STABLE
Cremonese
DLLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 1% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateH2H: 3/3 draws (100%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (34.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Parmavs
0.39
CremoneseGoal Probability
Parma
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Cremonese
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (20%)0-0 (18%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 2.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Parma+6
Gap#18
Cremonese
WR 21% 34 pts
WR 20% 24 pts
Parma
12.0%
| Mar 13 | Parma v Torino | 4-1 |
| Mar 08 | Parma v Fiorent… | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Parma v Cagliari | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Parma v AC Milan | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Parma v Verona | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Parma v Bologna | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Parma v Juventus | 1-4 |
| Jan 25 | Parma v Atalanta | 4-0 |
| Jan 18 | Parma v Genoa | 0-0 |
| Jan 14 | Parma v Napoli | 0-0 |
Cremonese
4.0%
| Mar 16 | Cremone… v Fiorent… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Cremone… v Lecce | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Cremone… v AC Milan | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Cremone… v AS Roma | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Cremone… v Genoa | 0-0 |
| Feb 09 | Cremone… v Atalanta | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Cremone… v Inter | 0-2 |
| Jan 25 | Cremone… v Sassuolo | 1-0 |
| Jan 19 | Cremone… v Verona | 0-0 |
| Jan 12 | Cremone… v Juventus | 5-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Sep 21, 2025 | Cremonese | 0-0 | Parma |
| May 05, 2024 | Parma | 1-1 | Cremonese |
| May 05, 2024 | Parma | 1-1 | Cremonese |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
59%
Market
50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Cremonese struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.