Serie A · Mar 20, 2026 17:30
Cagliari
PWR 34
Napoli
PWR 40
Cagliari
PWR 34
1-2
predicted
Napoli
PWR 40
29%
28%
43%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Napoli Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
55%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (10%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No 49%
Over 3.5
40%
Team Comparison
37Attack43
60Defense73
Goals/G
1.21.4
Conc/G
1.30.9
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Cagliari
LLDDL
DOWN
Napoli
WWWLD
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (26.2%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Cagliarivs
0.77
NapoliGoal Probability
Cagliari
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Napoli
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (7%)1-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Cagliari-12
Gap#3
Napoli
WR 29% 30 pts
WR 53% 59 pts
Cagliari
4.0%
| Mar 15 | Cagliari v Pisa | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Cagliari v Como | 1-2 |
| Feb 27 | Cagliari v Parma | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Cagliari v Lazio | 0-0 |
| Feb 16 | Cagliari v Lecce | 0-2 |
| Feb 09 | Cagliari v AS Roma | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Cagliari v Verona | 4-0 |
| Jan 24 | Cagliari v Fiorent… | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Cagliari v Juventus | 1-0 |
| Jan 12 | Cagliari v Genoa | 3-0 |
Napoli
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Napoli v Lecce | 2-1 |
| Mar 06 | Napoli v Torino | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Napoli v Verona | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Napoli v Atalanta | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Napoli v AS Roma | 2-2 |
| Feb 10 | Napoli v Como | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Napoli v Genoa | 2-3 |
| Jan 31 | Napoli v Fiorent… | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | Napoli v Chelsea | 2-3 |
| Jan 25 | Napoli v Juventus | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 03, 2025 | Napoli | 1-1 | Cagliari |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Napoli | 1-0 | Cagliari |
| May 23, 2025 | Napoli | 2-0 | Cagliari |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Cagliari | 0-4 | Napoli |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Cagliari | 0-4 | Napoli |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Cagliari | 1-1 | Napoli |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Cagliari | 1-1 | Napoli |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Napoli | 2-1 | Cagliari |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Napoli | 2-1 | Cagliari |
| Feb 21, 2022 | Cagliari | 1-1 | Napoli |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Napoli in strong form (3W in last 5)
Cagliari struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.