Premier League · Mar 21, 2026 12:30
Brighton
PWR 36
Liverpool
PWR 38
Brighton
PWR 36
2-2
predicted
Liverpool
PWR 38
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Brighton Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (25%)0-1 (20%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%
83%
BTTS
No
No 25%
Over 3.5
19%
Team Comparison
43Attack49
60Defense59
Goals/G
1.41.6
Conc/G
1.31.4
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Brighton
WLWWL
STABLE
Liverpool
DLWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 40% at home = very high riskCombined DR 60% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Brightonvs
0.83
LiverpoolGoal Probability
Brighton
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Liverpool
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (16%)0-2 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-0 (10%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 81% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Brighton-7
Gap#5
Liverpool
WR 40% 40 pts
WR 40% 49 pts
Brighton
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Brighton v Sunderl… | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Brighton v Arsenal | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Brighton v Notting… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Brighton v Brentfo… | 0-2 |
| Feb 14 | Brighton v Liverpo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 11 | Brighton v Aston V… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Brighton v Crystal… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Brighton v Everton | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Brighton v Fulham | 2-1 |
| Jan 19 | Brighton v Bournem… | 1-1 |
Liverpool
10.0%
| Mar 15 | Liverpo… v Tottenh… | 1-1 |
| Mar 10 | Liverpo… v Galatas… | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Liverpo… v Wolves | 1-3 |
| Mar 03 | Liverpo… v Wolves | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Liverpo… v West Ham | 5-2 |
| Feb 22 | Liverpo… v Notting… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Liverpo… v Brighton | 3-0 |
| Feb 11 | Liverpo… v Sunderl… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Liverpo… v Manches… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Liverpo… v Newcast… | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 14, 2026 | Liverpool | 3-0 | Brighton |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Liverpool | 2-0 | Brighton |
| May 19, 2025 | Brighton | 3-2 | Liverpool |
| Nov 02, 2024 | Liverpool | 2-1 | Brighton |
| Nov 02, 2024 | Liverpool | 2-1 | Brighton |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Brighton | 2-3 | Liverpool |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Liverpool | 2-1 | Brighton |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Liverpool | 2-1 | Brighton |
| Oct 08, 2023 | Brighton | 2-2 | Liverpool |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Brighton | 2-1 | Liverpool |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
36%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Brighton in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.