Premier League · Mar 22, 2026 12:00

Newcastle United
PWR 35
3-0
predicted

Sunderland
PWR 35
51% 24% 25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Newcastle United Win
Score
3-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
Yes 54%
Over 3.5
46%
Team Comparison
41Attack34
59Defense68
Goals/G
1.41.1
Conc/G
1.41.1
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Newcastle Unit… WDLWL
STABLE
Sunderland LLWDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
FORM_DOMINANT
Standings data available (Tier 2)Similar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Newcastle Unit…
vs
0.93
Sunderland
Goal Probability
Newcastle U…
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
11%
Sunderland
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 97% 3% OVER
1.5 86% 14% OVER
2.5 67% 33% OVER
3.5 46% 55% -
4.5 27% 73% UNDER
5.5 14% 86% UNDER
6.5 6% 94% UNDER
League Position
#9
Newcastle U…
+4
Gap
#13
Sunderland
WR 53% 42 pts WR 20% 40 pts
Newcastle Unit… 10.0%
Mar 14 Newcast… v Chelsea 0-1
Mar 10 Newcast… v Barcelo… 1-1
Mar 07 Newcast… v Manches… 1-3
Mar 04 Newcast… v Manches… 2-1
Feb 28 Newcast… v Everton 2-3
Feb 24 Newcast… v Qarabağ… 3-2
Feb 21 Newcast… v Manches… 2-1
Feb 18 Newcast… v Qarabağ… 1-6
Feb 14 Newcast… v Aston V… 1-3
Feb 10 Newcast… v Tottenh… 1-2
Sunderland 6.0%
Mar 14 Sunderl… v Brighton 0-1
Mar 08 Sunderl… v Port Va… 1-0
Mar 03 Sunderl… v Leeds 0-1
Feb 28 Sunderl… v Bournem… 1-1
Feb 22 Sunderl… v Fulham 1-3
Feb 15 Sunderl… v Oxford … 0-1
Feb 11 Sunderl… v Liverpo… 0-1
Feb 07 Sunderl… v Arsenal 3-0
Feb 02 Sunderl… v Burnley 3-0
Jan 24 Sunderl… v West Ham 3-1
Head-to-Head (2)
Dec 14, 2025 Sunderland 1-0 Newcastle Uni…
Jan 06, 2024 Sunderland 0-3 Newcastle Uni…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
66%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sunderland struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.