Primera Division · Mar 21, 2026 21:00
Firpo
PWR 35
Alianza
PWR 35
Firpo
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Alianza
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Firpo to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (13%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)0-0 (9%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No 48%
Over 3.5
26%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Firpo
WWLWW
STABLE
Alianza
LDWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Firpovs
1.01
AlianzaGoal Probability
Firpo
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4
4%
Alianza
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (10%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)0-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Firpo+2
Gap#3
Alianza
WR 73% 50 pts
WR 73% 44 pts
Firpo
16.0%
| Mar 15 | Firpo v Municip… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Firpo v Águila | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Firpo v FAS | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | Firpo v Cacahua… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Firpo v Hércules | 3-2 |
| Feb 19 | Firpo v Isidro … | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Firpo v Platense | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | Firpo v Fuerte … | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Firpo v Cacahua… | 1-3 |
| Feb 01 | Firpo v Inter | 0-0 |
Alianza
14.0%
| Mar 15 | Alianza v Inter | 2-0 |
| Mar 12 | Alianza v Zacatec… | 3-3 |
| Mar 08 | Alianza v Fuerte … | 3-2 |
| Mar 01 | Alianza v Zacatec… | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Alianza v Municip… | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Alianza v Águila | 0-3 |
| Feb 15 | Alianza v FAS | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | Alianza v Hércules | 1-4 |
| Feb 05 | Alianza v Isidro … | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Alianza v Platense | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 25, 2026 | Alianza | 2-3 | Firpo |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Firpo | 0-0 | Alianza |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Firpo | 0-5 | Alianza |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Alianza | 3-3 | Firpo |
| Apr 10, 2025 | Firpo | 0-0 | Alianza |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Alianza | 2-1 | Firpo |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Firpo | 0-0 | Alianza |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Alianza | 3-0 | Firpo |
| Aug 14, 2024 | Alianza | 5-2 | Firpo |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Alianza | 1-0 | Firpo |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
65%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Firpo in strong form (4W in last 5)
Alianza in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.