FAW Championship · Mar 20, 2026 19:30
Ammanford AFC
PWR 43
Ammanford AFC
PWR 43
2-1
predicted
Baglan Dragons
PWR 41
PWR 41
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Ammanford AFC to win (83% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
83%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (23%)2-0 (18%)0-0 (15%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
71%
BTTS
No
No 23%
Over 3.5
39%
Team Comparison
49Attack43
44Defense53
Goals/G
1.41.2
Conc/G
1.61.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ammanford AFC
WWLWD
STABLE
Baglan Dragons
LWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Ammanford AFCvs
0.35
Baglan DragonsGoal Probability
Ammanford A…
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Baglan Drag…
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (13%)3-0 (11%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Ammanford A…+10
Gap#19
Baglan Drag…
WR 35% 98 pts
WR 26% 62 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ammanford AFC | 74 | 26 | 20 | 28 | 104 | 119 | 98 |
| Baglan Dragons | 54 | 14 | 20 | 20 | 66 | 73 | 62 |
Ammanford AFC
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Ammanfo… v Llantwi… | 2-3 |
| Mar 06 | Ammanfo… v Cardiff… | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Ammanfo… v Afan Li… | 3-1 |
| Feb 24 | Ammanfo… v Aberyst… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Ammanfo… v Trethom… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Ammanfo… v Caerau … | 3-1 |
| Jan 23 | Ammanfo… v Trefelin | 0-4 |
| Jan 09 | Ammanfo… v Pontypr… | 0-3 |
| Jan 03 | Ammanfo… v Ynyshir… | 2-0 |
| Dec 26 | Ammanfo… v Carmart… | 0-1 |
Baglan Dragons
4.0%
| Mar 14 | Baglan … v Caerau … | 0-5 |
| Mar 06 | Baglan … v Newport… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Baglan … v Pontypr… | 2-0 |
| Feb 17 | Baglan … v Trefelin | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Baglan … v Cardiff… | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Baglan … v Aberyst… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Baglan … v Ynyshir… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Baglan … v Llantwi… | 0-0 |
| Dec 26 | Baglan … v Afan Li… | 3-1 |
| Dec 20 | Baglan … v Trethom… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Nov 28, 2025 | Baglan Dragons | 0-3 | Ammanford AFC |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Ammanford AFC | 1-1 | Baglan Dragons |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Baglan Dragons | 0-2 | Ammanford AFC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Baglan Dragons | 1-3 | Ammanford AFC |
| Dec 08, 2023 | Ammanford AFC | 2-2 | Baglan Dragons |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ammanford AFC in strong form (3W in last 5)
Baglan Dragons struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.