League Two · Mar 17, 2026 19:45
Accrington ST
PWR 37
Notts County
PWR 0
Accrington ST
PWR 37
1-0
predicted
Notts County
PWR 0
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Accrington ST to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (15%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.97x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.4x
Over 2.5
31%
Under 2.5
69%
69%
BTTS
No 38%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
36Attack0
68Defense0
Goals/G
1.20.0
Conc/G
1.10.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Accrington ST
DDLLL
STABLE
Notts County
LWLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Two
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Accrington STvs
0.91
Notts CountyGoal Probability
Accrington …
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Notts County
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (14%)0-1 (13%)1-0 (13%)0-0 (13%)1-2 (7%)0-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 2.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Accrington …-11
Gap#4
Notts County
WR 44% 48 pts
WR 47% 64 pts
Accrington ST
4.0%
| Mar 14 | Accring… v Barrow | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Accring… v Cambrid… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Accring… v Bromley | 2-1 |
| Feb 24 | Accring… v Barnet | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Accring… v Shrewsb… | 0-2 |
| Feb 17 | Accring… v Tranmer… | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | Accring… v Grimsby | 1-0 |
| Feb 05 | Accring… v Salford… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Accring… v Chelten… | 3-1 |
| Jan 27 | Accring… v Newport… | 1-4 |
Notts County
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Notts C… v Chester… | 2-3 |
| Mar 07 | Notts C… v Walsall | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Notts C… v Grimsby | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Notts C… v Tranmer… | 5-0 |
| Feb 17 | Notts C… v Shrewsb… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Notts C… v Bromley | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Notts C… v Barrow | 2-1 |
| Feb 03 | Notts C… v Gilling… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Notts C… v Fleetwo… | 1-2 |
| Jan 27 | Notts C… v Swindon… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Jan 01, 2026 | Notts County | 0-1 | Accrington ST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Accrington ST | 0-3 | Notts County |
| Sep 07, 2024 | Notts County | 2-0 | Accrington ST |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Accrington ST | 2-2 | Notts County |
| Sep 02, 2023 | Notts County | 3-1 | Accrington ST |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
30%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Accrington ST struggling (3L in last 5)
Notts County struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.