League One · Mar 17, 2026 19:45
Luton
PWR 0
Exeter City
PWR 36
Luton
PWR 0
0-1
predicted
Exeter City
PWR 36
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Exeter City to win (75% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
75%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
80%
Home/Draw
1.31x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.34x
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
30%
Team Comparison
0Attack35
0Defense68
Goals/G
0.01.2
Conc/G
0.01.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Luton
WDLDD
STABLE
Exeter City
LLLDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League One
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Lutonvs
1.00
Exeter CityGoal Probability
Luton
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Exeter City
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (14%)1-0 (14%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)3-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Luton+7
Gap#18
Exeter City
WR 50% 51 pts
WR 22% 42 pts
Luton
10.0%
| Mar 14 | Luton v Wycombe | 1-2 |
| Mar 10 | Luton v Doncast… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Luton v Reading… | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Luton v Port Va… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Luton v Burton … | 1-1 |
| Feb 18 | Luton v Wigan | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Luton v Cardiff | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Luton v Bradford | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Luton v Blackpo… | 1-0 |
| Jan 27 | Luton v Hudders… | 1-0 |
Exeter City
2.0%
| Mar 14 | Exeter … v Cardiff | 0-4 |
| Mar 10 | Exeter … v Lincoln | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Exeter … v Barnsley | 2-1 |
| Mar 03 | Exeter … v Burton … | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Exeter … v Bolton | 1-5 |
| Feb 21 | Exeter … v Peterbo… | 3-3 |
| Feb 17 | Exeter … v Wycombe | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Exeter … v Northam… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Exeter … v Mansfie… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Exeter … v Rotherh… | 0-4 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jan 01, 2026 | Exeter City | 1-0 | Luton |
| Dec 02, 2025 | Luton | 4-0 | Exeter City |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Exeter City | 1-0 | Luton |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
74%
Market
59%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Exeter City struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.