Ligue 2 · Mar 20, 2026 19:00
Pau FC
PWR 34
Montpellier HSC
PWR 37
Pau FC
PWR 34
2-1
predicted
Montpellier HSC
PWR 37
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Pau FC Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-3 (6%)2-1 (6%)0-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
70%
70%
Under 2.5
30%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 71%
Over 3.5
47%
Team Comparison
43Attack34
53Defense70
Goals/G
1.41.1
Conc/G
1.61.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Pau FC
WDLLL
STABLE
Montpellier HSC
WWDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Similar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateElevated draw risk (23.8%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/0 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Pau FCvs
2.23
Montpellier HSCGoal Probability
Pau FC
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Montpellier…
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-1 (9%)0-2 (7%)1-3 (7%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 4.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 15% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Pau FC-4
Gap#7
Montpellier…
WR 29% 38 pts
WR 39% 41 pts
Pau FC
6.0%
| Mar 13 | Pau FC v Clermon… | 0-1 |
| Mar 06 | Pau FC v Bastia | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Pau FC v Saint-É… | 0-3 |
| Feb 21 | Pau FC v Estac T… | 4-3 |
| Feb 13 | Pau FC v Boulogne | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | Pau FC v RED Sta… | 0-3 |
| Jan 30 | Pau FC v Laval | 0-1 |
| Jan 23 | Pau FC v Grenoble | 2-2 |
| Jan 16 | Pau FC v Dunkerq… | 3-1 |
| Jan 03 | Pau FC v Rodez | 3-3 |
Montpellier HSC
14.0%
| Mar 13 | Montpel… v Laval | 2-0 |
| Mar 06 | Montpel… v Nancy | 0-3 |
| Feb 27 | Montpel… v Reims | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | Montpel… v Rodez | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Montpel… v Le Mans | 4-2 |
| Feb 07 | Montpel… v Saint-É… | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Montpel… v Nice | 3-2 |
| Jan 30 | Montpel… v Guingamp | 3-1 |
| Jan 23 | Montpel… v Bastia | 0-2 |
| Jan 16 | Montpel… v Boulogne | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Dec 06, 2025 | Montpellier H… | 0-1 | Pau FC |
| Jan 06, 2023 | Pau FC | 2-1 | Montpellier H… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
42%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Montpellier HSC in strong form (3W in last 5)
Pau FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.