Serie A · Mar 16, 2026 19:45
Cremonese
PWR 30
Fiorentina
PWR 44
Cremonese
PWR 30
1-1
predicted
Fiorentina
PWR 44
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Cremonese Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (20%)0-0 (18%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (12%)1-0 (10%)1-2 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.05x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.39x
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%
75%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
30%
Team Comparison
26Attack53
60Defense74
Goals/G
0.91.8
Conc/G
1.30.9
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Cremonese
LLLDL
DOWN
Fiorentina
WDLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 1% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 46% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateCombined DR 82% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
Cremonesevs
1.15
FiorentinaGoal Probability
Cremonese
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Fiorentina
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (12%)0-2 (11%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-3 (7%)0-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
Cremonese-1
Gap#17
Fiorentina
WR 15% 24 pts
WR 14% 25 pts
Cremonese
2.0%
| Mar 08 | Cremone… v Lecce | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Cremone… v AC Milan | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Cremone… v AS Roma | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Cremone… v Genoa | 0-0 |
| Feb 09 | Cremone… v Atalanta | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Cremone… v Inter | 0-2 |
| Jan 25 | Cremone… v Sassuolo | 1-0 |
| Jan 19 | Cremone… v Verona | 0-0 |
| Jan 12 | Cremone… v Juventus | 5-0 |
| Jan 08 | Cremone… v Cagliari | 2-2 |
Fiorentina
10.0%
| Mar 12 | Fiorent… v Raków C… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Fiorent… v Parma | 0-0 |
| Mar 02 | Fiorent… v Udinese | 3-0 |
| Feb 26 | Fiorent… v Jagiell… | 2-4 |
| Feb 23 | Fiorent… v Pisa | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Fiorent… v Jagiell… | 0-3 |
| Feb 14 | Fiorent… v Como | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Fiorent… v Torino | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Fiorent… v Napoli | 2-1 |
| Jan 27 | Fiorent… v Como | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Jan 04, 2026 | Fiorentina | 1-0 | Cremonese |
| Apr 27, 2023 | Fiorentina | 0-0 | Cremonese |
| Apr 05, 2023 | Cremonese | 0-2 | Fiorentina |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Cremonese | 0-2 | Fiorentina |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Fiorentina | 3-2 | Cremonese |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
43%
Standings
48%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Cremonese struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.