La Liga · Mar 16, 2026 20:00
Rayo Vallecano
PWR 49
Levante
PWR 30
Rayo Vallecano
PWR 49
1-0
predicted
Levante
PWR 30
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Rayo Vallecano to win (78% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
78%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (12%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (4%)1-0 (4%)2-1 (3%)1-1 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
81%
Home/Draw
1.3x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.36x
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No
No 29%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
68Attack34
74Defense51
Goals/G
2.31.1
Conc/G
0.91.6
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Rayo Vallecano
WDWDD
STABLE
Levante
DWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 54% at home = very high riskH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 69% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.3
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Rayo Vallecanovs
0.35
LevanteGoal Probability
Rayo Vallec…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Levante
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 18% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Rayo Vallec…+4
Gap#19
Levante
WR 31% 31 pts
WR 23% 22 pts
Rayo Vallecano
14.0%
| Mar 12 | Rayo Va… v Samsuns… | 1-3 |
| Mar 08 | Rayo Va… v Sevilla… | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Rayo Va… v Oviedo | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Rayo Va… v Athleti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Rayo Va… v Real Be… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Rayo Va… v Atlétic… | 3-0 |
| Feb 01 | Rayo Va… v Real Ma… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Rayo Va… v Osasuna | 1-3 |
| Jan 18 | Rayo Va… v Celta d… | 3-0 |
| Jan 14 | Rayo Va… v Alavés | 2-0 |
Levante
6.0%
| Mar 07 | Levante v Girona | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Levante v Alavés | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Levante v Barcelo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 18 | Levante v Villarr… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Levante v Valencia | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Levante v Athleti… | 4-2 |
| Jan 31 | Levante v Atlétic… | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Levante v Elche | 3-2 |
| Jan 17 | Levante v Real Ma… | 2-0 |
| Jan 11 | Levante v Espanyol | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 19, 2025 | Levante | 0-3 | Rayo Vallecano |
| May 20, 2022 | Rayo Vallecano | 2-4 | Levante |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Levante | 1-1 | Rayo Vallecano |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
58%
Market
59%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Levante struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.