Pro League · Feb 19, 2026 19:00
Al-Ahli Saudi
PWR 35
Al-Ahli Saudi
PWR 35
4 - 1
FT
Al Najma
PWR 35
PWR 35
63%
21%
16%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 84% home + 10% draw = 95% combined
97%
accuracy
1.11x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Al-Ahli Saudi Win
Score
4-0
Confidence
81%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (19%)3-0 (18%)1-0 (13%)0-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-1 (4%)
CORRECT 4-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
95%
Home/Draw
1.11x
DC X2
Away/Draw
6.62x
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS
No
No 20%
Over 3.5
66%
66%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Al-Ahli Saudi
WWWWD
UP
Al Najma
WLLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy88%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_DOMINANTHOME_STREAKPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMESODDS_CONFIRM_75
Full data available (Tier 1)Bookmaker consensus confirms HOME at 84%Elevated draw risk (21.0%) - consider AH✓ Passed (8 independent rules, 81% confidence)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.83
Al-Ahli Saudivs
0.24
Al NajmaGoal Probability
Al-Ahli Sau…
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Al Najma
0
79%
1
19%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (12%)4-0 (12%)5-0 (10%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)4-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 83% | 18% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 5.5 | 30% | 71% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Al-Ahli Sau…+15
Gap#18
Al Najma
WR 77% 62 pts
WR 0% 8 pts
Al-Ahli Saudi
18.0%
| Feb 16 | Al-Ahli… v Al Wahd… | 2-1 |
| Feb 16 | Al-Ahli… v Shabab … | 4-3 |
| Feb 13 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Etti… | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | Al-Ahli… v Al Shab… | 2-5 |
| Feb 09 | Al-Ahli… v Shabab … | 0-0 |
| Feb 09 | Al-Ahli… v Al Wahd… | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Hazem | 2-0 |
| Feb 05 | Al-Ahli… v Al Akhd… | 0-6 |
| Feb 02 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Ahli… | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Qadi… | 2-2 |
Al Najma
6.0%
| Feb 14 | Al Najma v Al Khol… | 2-1 |
| Feb 05 | Al Najma v Al-Fate… | 3-0 |
| Feb 01 | Al Najma v Al-Itti… | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | Al Najma v Al Riya… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Al Najma v Al-Qadi… | 1-3 |
| Jan 20 | Al Najma v Al Shab… | 0-0 |
| Jan 16 | Al Najma v Al-Fate… | 1-1 |
| Jan 12 | Al Najma v Al-Hazem | 3-2 |
| Jan 08 | Al Najma v Al-Etti… | 3-4 |
| Jan 02 | Al Najma v Al Khal… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 07, 2025 | Al Najma | 2-4 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Al Najma | 0-1 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
93%
Market
98%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Al-Ahli Saudi in strong form (4W in last 5)
Al Najma struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.